Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.044642 0.048664 0.052749 0.057200 0.061908 0.066731 0.072039
2024-12-29 0.038585 0.044490 0.050712 0.057732 0.065404 0.073507 0.082688
2025-01-05 0.033909 0.041162 0.049067 0.058258 0.068588 0.079781 0.092764
2025-01-12 0.029492 0.037620 0.046764 0.057698 0.070303 0.084270 0.100803
2025-01-19 0.026660 0.035569 0.045881 0.058516 0.073400 0.090204 0.110433
2025-01-26 0.023598 0.032939 0.044059 0.058010 0.074787 0.094064 0.117630
2025-02-02 0.021381 0.031124 0.043025 0.058278 0.076955 0.098745 0.125740
2025-02-09 0.019865 0.030042 0.042763 0.059377 0.080043 0.104469 0.135072
2025-02-16 0.019126 0.029885 0.043600 0.061793 0.084719 0.112104 0.146726
2025-02-23 0.016612 0.027159 0.040972 0.059684 0.083673 0.112729 0.149897
2025-03-02 0.014938 0.025447 0.039545 0.059000 0.084313 0.115341 0.155427
2025-03-09 0.013541 0.024012 0.038390 0.058581 0.085219 0.118230 0.161269
2025-03-16 0.013069 0.023915 0.039078 0.060659 0.089430 0.125378 0.172564
2025-03-23 0.012281 0.023288 0.038991 0.061672 0.092259 0.130818 0.181801
2025-03-30 0.011495 0.022603 0.038775 0.062478 0.094804 0.135911 0.190645
2025-04-06 0.010414 0.021367 0.037695 0.062029 0.095641 0.138797 0.196711
2025-04-13 0.009810 0.020849 0.037625 0.062967 0.098324 0.144070 0.205835
2025-04-20 0.008888 0.019726 0.036589 0.062477 0.099031 0.146754 0.211650
2025-04-27 0.008241 0.019016 0.036132 0.062782 0.100802 0.150820 0.219253
2025-05-04 0.007849 0.018717 0.036283 0.063952 0.103762 0.156462 0.228918
2025-05-11 0.007791 0.019011 0.037364 0.066504 0.108670 0.164727 0.242054
2025-05-18 0.006726 0.017365 0.035286 0.064287 0.106828 0.163948 0.243355
2025-05-25 0.006057 0.016398 0.034241 0.063568 0.107060 0.165919 0.248245